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Spotlight on Economics - by Philip Shaw

  1. 02 Mar, 2015

    The week ahead: Monday 2 March 2015

    For markets globally, a major focus for the week ahead will be Friday’s report on the US labour market. It will be eyed with even more keenness than usual following Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s recent monetary policy testimonies. More
  2. 27 Feb, 2015

    MPC preview – next rate move up, but not for a while

    The MPC makes its March announcement on Thursday, six years to the day that the committee reduced the Bank rate to 0.5% and launched what has been a £375bn Quantitative Easing programme. More
  3. 26 Feb, 2015

    Economies make progress despite deflation fears

    We maintain our view that we should see a pick-up in global growth this year; we forecast 3.7%. We maintain our view that we should see a pick-up in global growth this year; we forecast 3.7%. However we note that across the globe, more central banks appear to be treating deflation as a more seri... More
  4. 20 Feb, 2015

    The week ahead: Monday 23 February 2015

    Fed Chair Janet Yellen’s semi-annual testimonies to Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday are set to be the week’s standout events. More
  5. 17 Feb, 2015

    UK CPI inflation continued its downward march in January touching an all-time record low of 0.3% whilst consensus expectations had been for a smaller dip down to 0.4% from December’s 0.5%. Our own forecast was 0.3% y/y.

    UK CPI inflation continued its downward march in January touching an all-time record low of 0.3% whilst consensus expectations had been for a smaller dip down to 0.4% from December’s 0.5%. Our own forecast was 0.3% y/y. More
  6. 16 Feb, 2015

    The week ahead: Monday 16 February 2015

    Greece looks set to continue to hog the limelight next week as negotiations between the new government and the various Euro area authorities come to a head on Monday as the Eurogroup of Finance Ministers meets again. More
  7. 12 Feb, 2015

    Inflation Report: Growth remains buoyant amidst temporary inflation drop

    The Bank of England published its February Inflation Report (IR) this morning. Speculation ahead of the report had centred on whether the prospect of a temporary period of low inflation might put on ice any policy tightening plans for the foreseeable future. More
  8. 10 Feb, 2015

    Greece- bailouts, debts and refinancings factbox

    Please find attached some facts and figures concerning Greece’s debts and its bailouts. We hope it is a useful reference document, even though by its nature it is a little technical in places. Please see the link below. More
  9. 09 Feb, 2015

    The week ahead: Monday 9 February 2015

    As we look to the week ahead, developments related to the new Greek government’s quest for ‘radical change’ will very likely take centre stage. More
  10. 06 Feb, 2015

    MPC reaction – Steady, but key steers due next week

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