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Policy steady, no surprises. The UK’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) opted to keep policy steady at today’s meeting in line with the consensus and our own expectations.
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The ECB’s Governing Council (GC) opted to reduce its main refinancing rate at today’s meeting, taking it down from 0.75% to 0.5%, a new record low. That move was in line with the consensus with around two-thirds of those polled expecting the change today.
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March’s numbers beat expectations: Borrowing figures (the PSNBX) for March 2013 came in close to market expectations at £15.1bn (consensus £15.5bn, Investec forecast £16.3bn), some £1.6bn lower that in March last year.
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Little move forward in debate: In terms of the policy decision itself, there was little evolution in the debate, possibly underlining why the voting pattern remained the same.
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CPI remains ‘range bound’: CPI inflation remained at 2.8% in March, in line with the market consensus and our own forecast. The steady reading means that CPI inflation has now held in the narrow 2.7-2.8% range since October 2012.
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The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) opted to keep policy steady at today’s meeting, holding the Bank rate at 0.5% and the targeted level of QE at £375bn.
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As widely expected, the ECB Governing Council (GC) key kept interest rates unchanged at today’s meeting, including the main refinancing rate at 0.75%.
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Whereas the option of lowering the Bank rate again has largely been shelved, the debate over whether or not to restart asset purchases is currently a live one.
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Policy steady again, but rate cut debated? The ECB meets for its next monetary policy deliberation next week, with the announcement due at 12.45pm UK time on Thursday 4 April with President Draghi’s press conference following.
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Against a more uncertain background than usual, the MPC maintained the stance of policy today, holding the Bank rate at 0.5% and the asset purchase target steady at £375bn.
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