Spotlight on Economics - by Philip Shaw

  1. 10 May, 2013

    MPC reaction Policy steady in Sir Mervyns penultimate

    Policy steady, no surprises. The UK’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) opted to keep policy steady at today’s meeting in line with the consensus and our own expectations. More
  2. 07 May, 2013

    ECB Reaction - ECB cuts rate, but further to go?

    The ECB’s Governing Council (GC) opted to reduce its main refinancing rate at today’s meeting, taking it down from 0.75% to 0.5%, a new record low. That move was in line with the consensus with around two-thirds of those polled expecting the change today. More
  3. 25 Apr, 2013

    Economics flash note: Public finances Borrowing steady on the year

    March’s numbers beat expectations: Borrowing figures (the PSNBX) for March 2013 came in close to market expectations at £15.1bn (consensus £15.5bn, Investec forecast £16.3bn), some £1.6bn lower that in March last year. More
  4. 17 Apr, 2013

    MPC focuses on credit flows, labour market loosens

    Little move forward in debate: In terms of the policy decision itself, there was little evolution in the debate, possibly underlining why the voting pattern remained the same. More
  5. 16 Apr, 2013

    CPI Inflation steady but ascent expected soon

    CPI remains ‘range bound’: CPI inflation remained at 2.8% in March, in line with the market consensus and our own forecast. The steady reading means that CPI inflation has now held in the narrow 2.7-2.8% range since October 2012. More
  6. 04 Apr, 2013

    Policy held as new Governor still awaited

    The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) opted to keep policy steady at today’s meeting, holding the Bank rate at 0.5% and the targeted level of QE at £375bn. More
  7. 04 Apr, 2013

    ECB reaction: Standing ready to act

    As widely expected, the ECB Governing Council (GC) key kept interest rates unchanged at today’s meeting, including the main refinancing rate at 0.75%. More
  8. 02 Apr, 2013

    MPC preview - A live debate but no change yet?

    Whereas the option of lowering the Bank rate again has largely been shelved, the debate over whether or not to restart asset purchases is currently a live one. More
  9. 28 Mar, 2013

    ECB on hold, but edging towards a rate cut?

    Policy steady again, but rate cut debated? The ECB meets for its next monetary policy deliberation next week, with the announcement due at 12.45pm UK time on Thursday 4 April with President Draghi’s press conference following. More
  10. 07 Mar, 2013

    MPC reaction - In a process of Carney convergence?

    Against a more uncertain background than usual, the MPC maintained the stance of policy today, holding the Bank rate at 0.5% and the asset purchase target steady at £375bn. More