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Spotlight on Economics - by Philip Shaw

  1. 23 Apr, 2014

    Minutes, borrowing & manufacturing: Œ'Repairs in progress'

    April’s MPC minutes provided little in the way of surprises. At 7.2%, the prevailing rate of unemployment remained above the 7.0% threshold at the time of the meeting, keeping the committee bound to its August 2013 guidance. More
  2. 21 Apr, 2014

    The Week Ahead: Monday 21 April 2014

    UK markets are set for another holiday shortened week due to Easter Monday, despite this there are a number of important data releases. More
  3. 14 Apr, 2014

    The Week Ahead: Monday 14 April 2014

    In the wake of the various IMF/World Bank meetings in Washington, policymakers’ jawboning will remain a feature of the landscape next week. More
  4. 11 Apr, 2014

    GDP growth to surpass 3.0%, despite construction dip

    Construction output declined by 2.8% on the month in February, following an upward revised increase of 2.1% in January. More
  5. 10 Apr, 2014

    MPC reaction - On an even keel, despite firmer growth

    The MPC once again maintained its prevailing policy stance at April’s meeting, leaving the Bank rate at 0.5% and the asset purchase target at £375bn. More
  6. 07 Apr, 2014

    The Week Ahead: Monday 7 April 2014

    There will be a significant focus on Washington over much of next week as senior global policymakers assemble there for the IMF and World Bank spring meetings. More
  7. 04 Apr, 2014

    MPC preview: A shorter, narrow debate

    Perhaps the most telling point about April’s MPC meeting is that it has been condensed to one day, on Wednesday 9th, to enable several MPC members to participate in the IMF related meetings in Washington towards the end of the week. More
  8. 03 Apr, 2014

    ECB reaction – Draghi steps up rhetoric against ‘lowflation’

    At today’s meeting the ECB Governing Council (GC) maintained its key interest rates at 0.25% (refi rate), 0% (deposit rate) and 0.75% (marginal lending rate). More
  9. 31 Mar, 2014

    The Week Ahead: Monday 31 March 2014

    In terms of economic events, Friday’s US jobs data should act as its usual role as the key determinant of market sentiment. More
  10. 28 Mar, 2014

    Strong growth momentum, record current account deficits

    Second revisions to Q4 GDP left the broad trends in the economy unaltered from previous estimates, with growth on the quarter in Q4 unrevised at +0.7%, in line with consensus and our own expectations. More