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Economy

  1. 23 Apr, 2014

    CPI update: CPI inflation rises to 6.0% y/y but should moderate in H2.14 amid weaker demand and softer cost push pressures

    In line with consensus expectations, CPI inflation increased at a rate of 6.0% y/y in March, compared to 5.9% y/y in February. On a monthly basis, CPI rose by 1.3% m/m versus a prior 1.1% m/m. More
  2. 23 Apr, 2014

    Inflationary pressures likely to abate in March, supporting a gradual pace of monetary policy normalisation

    Key data releases in the week ahead   SA: CPI, PPI US:Existing Home Sales, New Home Sales, Flash Manufacturing PMI, Durable Goods Euro zone: Preliminary Consumer Confidence, Flash PMIs, More
  3. 23 Apr, 2014

    Minutes, borrowing & manufacturing: Œ'Repairs in progress'

    April’s MPC minutes provided little in the way of surprises. At 7.2%, the prevailing rate of unemployment remained above the 7.0% threshold at the time of the meeting, keeping the committee bound to its August 2013 guidance. More
  4. 21 Apr, 2014

    The Week Ahead: Monday 21 April 2014

    UK markets are set for another holiday shortened week due to Easter Monday, despite this there are a number of important data releases. More
  5. 16 Apr, 2014

    February retail sales growth subsides to 2.2% y/y, reflecting the weak nature of underlying consumer demand

    Retail sales growth corrected lower in February, to 2.2% y/y, from the statistically distorted 6.4% y/y in January (revised down from 6.8% y/y previously), below market expectations of 3.8% y/y. More
  6. 14 Apr, 2014

    The Week Ahead: Monday 14 April 2014

    In the wake of the various IMF/World Bank meetings in Washington, policymakers’ jawboning will remain a feature of the landscape next week. More
  7. 11 Apr, 2014

    GDP growth to surpass 3.0%, despite construction dip

    Construction output declined by 2.8% on the month in February, following an upward revised increase of 2.1% in January. More
  8. 10 Apr, 2014

    Production growth slows in February, highlighting underlying weak momentum in economic activity

    Relative to market expectations of a lift in manufacturing production growth, to 4.0% y/y in February, from 2.2% y/y (revised down from 2.5% y/y), the actual outcome of a slowdown to 1.4% y/y was disappointing. More
  9. 10 Apr, 2014

    Strike induced platinum output losses weigh on mining production – contraction of 4.8% y/y in February

    Mining production figures for February reflect the effects of the strike action at platinum producers, Anglo American, Impala Platinum and Lonmin. Growth in mining production contracted by 4.8% y/y in February, following a rise of 3.7% y/y in January. More
  10. 10 Apr, 2014

    MPC reaction - On an even keel, despite firmer growth

    The MPC once again maintained its prevailing policy stance at April’s meeting, leaving the Bank rate at 0.5% and the asset purchase target at £375bn. More